Vasco da Gama
Boca Juniors
Vasco da Gama – Boca Juniors
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 19, 07:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 47 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.48 – 1.02
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Vasco da Gama 1-3 Boca Juniors. The model predicted a win for Vasco da Gama (47 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.48 goals for Vasco da Gama and 1.02 for Boca Juniors. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 37 %. Over their last five matches, Vasco da Gama took 10 points and Boca Juniors 10 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Vasco da Gama, 0 draws, 0 wins for Boca Juniors. Over 2.5 goals: 46 %. Both teams to score: 50 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Vasco da Gama | 2.55 | 37 % | +20.2 % |
| XDraw | 3.15 | 30 % | -14.1 % |
| 2Boca Juniors | 2.85 | 33 % | -27.0 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Vasco da Gama
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Boca Juniors
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Vasco da Gama
- 0 draws
- 0 wins
- Boca Juniors
- Boca Juniors0-1Vasco da Gama
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Vasco da Gama – Boca Juniors?
Final score: Vasco da Gama 1-3 Boca Juniors. The model predicted a win for Vasco da Gama (47 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Vasco da Gama – Boca Juniors?
Our model gives 1 · Vasco da Gama a 47 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Vasco da Gama win 47 %, draw 27 %, Boca Juniors win 26 %.