Guadalajara
Necaxa
Guadalajara – Necaxa
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 19, 07:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 72 %
- Most likely score
- 2-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.29 – 0.87
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Guadalajara 1-0 Necaxa. The model predicted a win for Guadalajara (72 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.29 goals for Guadalajara and 0.87 for Necaxa. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 67 %. Over their last five matches, Guadalajara took 6 points and Necaxa 1 point. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Guadalajara, 1 draw, 2 wins for Necaxa. Over 2.5 goals: 61 %. Both teams to score: 53 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Guadalajara | 1.40 | 67 % | +0.7 % |
| XDraw | 5.00 | 19 % | -17.1 % |
| 2Necaxa | 6.50 | 14 % | -25.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Guadalajara
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Necaxa
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Guadalajara
- 1 draw
- 2 wins
- Necaxa
- Necaxa0-0Guadalajara
- Guadalajara3-1Necaxa
- Necaxa3-2Guadalajara
- Guadalajara3-2Necaxa
- Necaxa1-0Guadalajara
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Guadalajara – Necaxa?
Final score: Guadalajara 1-0 Necaxa. The model predicted a win for Guadalajara (72 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Guadalajara – Necaxa?
Our model gives 1 · Guadalajara a 72 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Guadalajara win 72 %, draw 17 %, Necaxa win 11 %.