VfB Stuttgart
Atlético Madrid
VfB Stuttgart – Atlético Madrid
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 19, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 39 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.54 – 1.44
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: VfB Stuttgart 1-1 Atlético Madrid. The model predicted a win for VfB Stuttgart (39 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.54 goals for VfB Stuttgart and 1.44 for Atlético Madrid. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 29 %. Over their last five matches, VfB Stuttgart took 6 points and Atlético Madrid 15 points. Over 2.5 goals: 57 %. Both teams to score: 60 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1VfB Stuttgart | 3.25 | 29 % | +28.2 % |
| XDraw | 3.85 | 25 % | -16.6 % |
| 2Atlético Madrid | 2.05 | 46 % | -20.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
VfB Stuttgart
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Atlético Madrid
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of VfB Stuttgart – Atlético Madrid?
Final score: VfB Stuttgart 1-1 Atlético Madrid. The model predicted a win for VfB Stuttgart (39 %): missed prediction.
Who will win VfB Stuttgart – Atlético Madrid?
Our model gives 1 · VfB Stuttgart a 39 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: VfB Stuttgart win 39 %, draw 22 %, Atlético Madrid win 39 %.