Napoli
Bodo/Glimt
Napoli – Bodo/Glimt
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 19, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 43 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.55 – 1.35
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Napoli 4-3 Bodo/Glimt. The model predicted a win for Napoli (43 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.55 goals for Napoli and 1.35 for Bodo/Glimt. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 59 %. Over their last five matches, Napoli took 7 points and Bodo/Glimt 12 points. Over 2.5 goals: 56 %. Both teams to score: 59 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Napoli | 1.61 | 59 % | -31.4 % |
| XDraw | 4.35 | 22 % | -7.6 % |
| 2Bodo/Glimt | 4.95 | 19 % | +78.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Napoli
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Bodo/Glimt
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Napoli – Bodo/Glimt?
Final score: Napoli 4-3 Bodo/Glimt. The model predicted a win for Napoli (43 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Napoli – Bodo/Glimt?
Our model gives 1 · Napoli a 43 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Napoli win 43 %, draw 21 %, Bodo/Glimt win 36 %.