Manchester City
AEK Athens
Manchester City – AEK Athens
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 19, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 79 %
- Most likely score
- 2-09 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.96 – 0.89
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Manchester City 5-1 AEK Athens. The model predicted a win for Manchester City (79 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.96 goals for Manchester City and 0.89 for AEK Athens. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 86 %. Over their last five matches, Manchester City took 12 points and AEK Athens 10 points. Over 2.5 goals: 74 %. Both teams to score: 56 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Manchester City | 1.11 | 86 % | -11.7 % |
| XDraw | 10.50 | 9 % | +20.4 % |
| 2AEK Athens | 18.50 | 5 % | +67.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Manchester City
- Last 5 matches
- At home
AEK Athens
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Manchester City – AEK Athens?
Final score: Manchester City 5-1 AEK Athens. The model predicted a win for Manchester City (79 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Manchester City – AEK Athens?
Our model gives 1 · Manchester City a 79 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Manchester City win 79 %, draw 11 %, AEK Athens win 9 %.