FC Porto
PSV Eindhoven
FC Porto – PSV Eindhoven
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 19, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 50 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.88 – 1.48
The short version
Final score: FC Porto 0-1 PSV Eindhoven. The model predicted a win for FC Porto (50 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.88 goals for FC Porto and 1.48 for PSV Eindhoven. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 61 %. Over their last five matches, FC Porto took 9 points and PSV Eindhoven 6 points. Over 2.5 goals: 65 %. Both teams to score: 66 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1FC Porto | 1.55 | 61 % | -22.8 % |
| XDraw | 4.60 | 21 % | -12.9 % |
| 2PSV Eindhoven | 5.13 | 18 % | +60.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
FC Porto
- Last 5 matches
- At home
PSV Eindhoven
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of FC Porto – PSV Eindhoven?
Final score: FC Porto 0-1 PSV Eindhoven. The model predicted a win for FC Porto (50 %): missed prediction.
Who will win FC Porto – PSV Eindhoven?
Our model gives 1 · FC Porto a 50 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: FC Porto win 50 %, draw 19 %, PSV Eindhoven win 31 %.