Al Nassr
Neom SC
Al Nassr – Neom SC
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 20, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 70 %
- Most likely score
- 2-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.15 – 1.04
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Al Nassr 1-0 Neom SC. The model predicted a win for Al Nassr (70 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 2.15 goals for Al Nassr and 1.04 for Neom SC. Bookmakers say the same thing: 69 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Al Nassr took 10 points and Neom SC 10 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Al Nassr, 0 draws, 0 wins for Neom SC. Over 2.5 goals: 62 %. Both teams to score: 58 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Al Nassr | 1.37 | 69 % | -4.0 % |
| XDraw | 5.25 | 18 % | -9.0 % |
| 2Neom SC | 7.00 | 13 % | -12.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Al Nassr
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Neom SC
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Al Nassr
- 0 draws
- 0 wins
- Neom SC
- Al Nassr1-0Neom SC
- Neom SC1-3Al Nassr
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Al Nassr – Neom SC?
Final score: Al Nassr 1-0 Neom SC. The model predicted a win for Al Nassr (70 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Al Nassr – Neom SC?
Our model gives 1 · Al Nassr a 70 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Al Nassr win 70 %, draw 17 %, Neom SC win 13 %.