Al Diriyah
Al Riyadh
Al Diriyah – Al Riyadh
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 20, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 46 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.44 – 1.02
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Al Diriyah 1-0 Al Riyadh. The model predicted a win for Al Diriyah (46 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.44 goals for Al Diriyah and 1.02 for Al Riyadh. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 62 %. Over their last five matches, Al Diriyah took 5 points and Al Riyadh 8 points. Over 2.5 goals: 45 %. Both teams to score: 49 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Al Diriyah | 1.52 | 62 % | -29.9 % |
| XDraw | 4.40 | 21 % | +28.5 % |
| 2Al Riyadh | 5.75 | 16 % | +41.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Al Diriyah
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Al Riyadh
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Al Diriyah – Al Riyadh?
Final score: Al Diriyah 1-0 Al Riyadh. The model predicted a win for Al Diriyah (46 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Al Diriyah – Al Riyadh?
Our model gives 1 · Al Diriyah a 46 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Al Diriyah win 46 %, draw 29 %, Al Riyadh win 25 %.