Empoli
0-1
Arezzo
Empoli – Arezzo
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:43 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 44 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.39 – 1.02
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Empoli 0-1 Arezzo. The model predicted a win for Empoli (44 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.39 goals for Empoli and 1.02 for Arezzo. Bookmakers say the same thing: 47 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Empoli took 8 points and Arezzo 6 points. Over 2.5 goals: 43 %. Both teams to score: 48 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Empoli | 1.98 | 47 % | -13.2 % |
| XDraw | 3.20 | 29 % | -6.6 % |
| 2Arezzo | 3.98 | 24 % | +7.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Empoli
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Arezzo
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Empoli – Arezzo?
Final score: Empoli 0-1 Arezzo. The model predicted a win for Empoli (44 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Empoli – Arezzo?
Our model gives 1 · Empoli a 44 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Empoli win 44 %, draw 29 %, Arezzo win 27 %.