Corinthians
Vitória
Corinthians – Vitória
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 19, 07:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 49 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.45 – 1.00
The short version
Final score: Corinthians 1-1 Vitória. The model predicted a win for Corinthians (49 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.45 goals for Corinthians and 1.00 for Vitória. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 58 %. Over their last five matches, Corinthians took no points and Vitória 7 points. In recent meetings: 3 wins for Corinthians, 2 draws, 0 wins for Vitória. Over 2.5 goals: 44 %. Both teams to score: 49 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Corinthians | 1.62 | 58 % | -20.3 % |
| XDraw | 3.80 | 25 % | +5.8 % |
| 2Vitória | 5.50 | 17 % | +26.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Corinthians
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Vitória
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 3 wins
- Corinthians
- 2 draws
- 0 wins
- Vitória
- Vitória0-0Corinthians
- Vitória0-1Corinthians
- Corinthians0-0Vitória
- Vitória1-2Corinthians
- Corinthians3-2Vitória
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Corinthians – Vitória?
Final score: Corinthians 1-1 Vitória. The model predicted a win for Corinthians (49 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Corinthians – Vitória?
Our model gives 1 · Corinthians a 49 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Corinthians win 49 %, draw 28 %, Vitória win 23 %.