Goiás
Náutico
Goiás – Náutico
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 19, 07:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 52 %
- Most likely score
- 1-013 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.44 – 0.90
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Goiás 0-0 Náutico. The model predicted a win for Goiás (52 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.44 goals for Goiás and 0.90 for Náutico. Bookmakers say the same thing: 55 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Goiás took 9 points and Náutico 4 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Goiás, 0 draws, 2 wins for Náutico. Over 2.5 goals: 42 %. Both teams to score: 46 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Goiás | 1.71 | 55 % | -11.9 % |
| XDraw | 3.75 | 25 % | -2.4 % |
| 2Náutico | 4.80 | 20 % | +7.7 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Goiás
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Náutico
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Goiás
- 0 draws
- 2 wins
- Náutico
- Náutico0-1Goiás
- Náutico3-2Goiás
- Goiás0-1Náutico
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Goiás – Náutico?
Final score: Goiás 0-0 Náutico. The model predicted a win for Goiás (52 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Goiás – Náutico?
Our model gives 1 · Goiás a 52 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Goiás win 52 %, draw 26 %, Náutico win 22 %.