Sarmiento (Junín)
Barracas Central
Sarmiento (Junín) – Barracas Central
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 19, 07:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 39 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.21 – 1.04
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Sarmiento (Junín) 1-1 Barracas Central. The model predicted a win for Sarmiento (Junín) (39 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.21 goals for Sarmiento (Junín) and 1.04 for Barracas Central. Bookmakers say the same thing: 41 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Sarmiento (Junín) took 8 points and Barracas Central 8 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Sarmiento (Junín), 2 draws, 1 win for Barracas Central. Over 2.5 goals: 39 %. Both teams to score: 46 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Sarmiento (Junín) | 2.30 | 41 % | -11.3 % |
| XDraw | 2.90 | 33 % | -11.4 % |
| 2Barracas Central | 3.60 | 26 % | +11.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Sarmiento (Junín)
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Barracas Central
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Sarmiento (Junín)
- 2 draws
- 1 win
- Barracas Central
- Barracas Central1-2Sarmiento (Junín)
- Barracas Central0-1Sarmiento (Junín)
- Sarmiento (Junín)1-1Barracas Central
- Barracas Central1-1Sarmiento (Junín)
- Sarmiento (Junín)3-5Barracas Central
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Sarmiento (Junín) – Barracas Central?
Final score: Sarmiento (Junín) 1-1 Barracas Central. The model predicted a win for Sarmiento (Junín) (39 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Sarmiento (Junín) – Barracas Central?
Our model gives 1 · Sarmiento (Junín) a 39 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Sarmiento (Junín) win 39 %, draw 31 %, Barracas Central win 31 %.