Newell's Old Boys
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)
Newell's Old Boys – Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 19, 07:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 43 %
- Most likely score
- 1-013 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.23 – 0.95
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Newell's Old Boys 2-1 Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero). The model predicted a win for Newell's Old Boys (43 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.23 goals for Newell's Old Boys and 0.95 for Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero). Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 50 %. Over their last five matches, Newell's Old Boys took 6 points and Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 3 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Newell's Old Boys, 1 draw, 2 wins for Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero). Over 2.5 goals: 37 %. Both teams to score: 44 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Newell's Old Boys | 1.90 | 50 % | -18.1 % |
| XDraw | 3.25 | 29 % | +1.0 % |
| 2Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) | 4.40 | 21 % | +13.7 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Newell's Old Boys
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Newell's Old Boys
- 1 draw
- 2 wins
- Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)
- Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)1-3Newell's Old Boys
- Newell's Old Boys1-1Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)
- Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)2-0Newell's Old Boys
- Newell's Old Boys2-3Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)
- Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Newell's Old Boys – Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)?
Final score: Newell's Old Boys 2-1 Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero). The model predicted a win for Newell's Old Boys (43 %): correct prediction.