Braga
Gil Vicente
Braga – Gil Vicente
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 19, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 49 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.43 – 1.04
The short version
Final score: Braga 1-2 Gil Vicente. The model predicted a win for Braga (49 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.43 goals for Braga and 1.04 for Gil Vicente. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 60 %. Over their last five matches, Braga took 4 points and Gil Vicente 7 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Braga, 1 draw, 2 wins for Gil Vicente. Over 2.5 goals: 45 %. Both teams to score: 50 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Braga | 1.54 | 60 % | -24.2 % |
| XDraw | 3.88 | 24 % | +1.4 % |
| 2Gil Vicente | 6.00 | 16 % | +47.7 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Braga
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Gil Vicente
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Braga
- 1 draw
- 2 wins
- Gil Vicente
- Gil Vicente2-1Braga
- Braga0-1Gil Vicente
- Braga2-0Gil Vicente
- Gil Vicente0-0Braga
- Braga2-1Gil Vicente
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Braga – Gil Vicente?
Final score: Braga 1-2 Gil Vicente. The model predicted a win for Braga (49 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Braga – Gil Vicente?
Our model gives 1 · Braga a 49 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Braga win 49 %, draw 26 %, Gil Vicente win 25 %.