Getafe
Rayo Vallecano
Getafe – Rayo Vallecano
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 19, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 37 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.14 – 1.15
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Getafe 1-1 Rayo Vallecano. The model predicted a win for Getafe (37 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.14 goals for Getafe and 1.15 for Rayo Vallecano. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 32 %. Over their last five matches, Getafe took 5 points and Rayo Vallecano 7 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Getafe, 3 draws, 2 wins for Rayo Vallecano. Over 2.5 goals: 40 %. Both teams to score: 47 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Getafe | 3.00 | 32 % | +10.7 % |
| XDraw | 2.95 | 32 % | -11.5 % |
| 2Rayo Vallecano | 2.65 | 36 % | -12.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Getafe
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Rayo Vallecano
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Getafe
- 3 draws
- 2 wins
- Rayo Vallecano
- Getafe0-2Rayo Vallecano
- Rayo Vallecano1-1Getafe
- Rayo Vallecano1-0Getafe
- Getafe0-0Rayo Vallecano
- Rayo Vallecano0-0Getafe
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Getafe – Rayo Vallecano?
Final score: Getafe 1-1 Rayo Vallecano. The model predicted a win for Getafe (37 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Getafe – Rayo Vallecano?
Our model gives 1 · Getafe a 37 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Getafe win 37 %, draw 30 %, Rayo Vallecano win 33 %.