Rodez Aveyron
Montpellier
Rodez Aveyron – Montpellier
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 19, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 37 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.29 – 1.24
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Rodez Aveyron 0-3 Montpellier. The model predicted a win for Rodez Aveyron (37 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.29 goals for Rodez Aveyron and 1.24 for Montpellier. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 31 %. Over their last five matches, Rodez Aveyron took 1 point and Montpellier 8 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Rodez Aveyron, 0 draws, 1 win for Montpellier. Over 2.5 goals: 46 %. Both teams to score: 52 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Rodez Aveyron | 3.05 | 31 % | +14.0 % |
| XDraw | 3.20 | 30 % | -2.8 % |
| 2Montpellier | 2.40 | 39 % | -22.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Rodez Aveyron
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Montpellier
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Rodez Aveyron
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- Montpellier
- Rodez Aveyron1-0Montpellier
- Montpellier2-0Rodez Aveyron
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Rodez Aveyron – Montpellier?
Final score: Rodez Aveyron 0-3 Montpellier. The model predicted a win for Rodez Aveyron (37 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Rodez Aveyron – Montpellier?
Our model gives 1 · Rodez Aveyron a 37 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Rodez Aveyron win 37 %, draw 30 %, Montpellier win 32 %.