Degerfors IF
Kalmar FF
Degerfors IF – Kalmar FF
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 19, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 35 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.26 – 1.21
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Degerfors IF 1-2 Kalmar FF. The model predicted a win for Degerfors IF (35 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.26 goals for Degerfors IF and 1.21 for Kalmar FF. Bookmakers say the same thing: 32 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Degerfors IF took 4 points and Kalmar FF no points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Degerfors IF, 0 draws, 4 wins for Kalmar FF. Over 2.5 goals: 45 %. Both teams to score: 51 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Degerfors IF | 2.95 | 32 % | +2.3 % |
| XDraw | 3.25 | 29 % | +3.7 % |
| 2Kalmar FF | 2.45 | 39 % | -18.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Degerfors IF
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Kalmar FF
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Degerfors IF
- 0 draws
- 4 wins
- Kalmar FF
- Kalmar FF2-1Degerfors IF
- Degerfors IF1-3Kalmar FF
- Kalmar FF2-1Degerfors IF
- Degerfors IF2-1Kalmar FF
- Kalmar FF2-0Degerfors IF
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Degerfors IF – Kalmar FF?
Final score: Degerfors IF 1-2 Kalmar FF. The model predicted a win for Degerfors IF (35 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Degerfors IF – Kalmar FF?
Our model gives 1 · Degerfors IF a 35 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Degerfors IF win 35 %, draw 32 %, Kalmar FF win 33 %.