Monza
Cagliari
Monza – Cagliari
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 19, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 36 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.27 – 1.18
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Monza 4-0 Cagliari. The model predicted a win for Monza (36 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.27 goals for Monza and 1.18 for Cagliari. Bookmakers say the same thing: 39 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Monza took 7 points and Cagliari 10 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Monza, 1 draw, 2 wins for Cagliari. Over 2.5 goals: 45 %. Both teams to score: 50 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Monza | 2.38 | 39 % | -14.2 % |
| XDraw | 3.10 | 30 % | -5.1 % |
| 2Cagliari | 3.00 | 31 % | -0.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Monza
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Cagliari
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Monza
- 1 draw
- 2 wins
- Cagliari
- Cagliari3-0Monza
- Monza1-2Cagliari
- Monza1-0Cagliari
- Cagliari1-1Monza
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Monza – Cagliari?
Final score: Monza 4-0 Cagliari. The model predicted a win for Monza (36 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Monza – Cagliari?
Our model gives 1 · Monza a 36 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Monza win 36 %, draw 31 %, Cagliari win 33 %.