Como
4-1
RB Leipzig
Como – RB Leipzig
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:42 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 62 %
- Most likely score
- 2-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.28 – 1.21
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Como 4-1 RB Leipzig. The model predicted a win for Como (62 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 2.28 goals for Como and 1.21 for RB Leipzig. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 57 %. Over their last five matches, Como took 13 points and RB Leipzig 9 points. Over 2.5 goals: 68 %. Both teams to score: 63 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Como | 1.66 | 57 % | +3.5 % |
| XDraw | 4.20 | 23 % | -28.2 % |
| 2RB Leipzig | 4.60 | 21 % | -5.0 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Como
- Last 5 matches
- At home
RB Leipzig
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Como – RB Leipzig?
Final score: Como 4-1 RB Leipzig. The model predicted a win for Como (62 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Como – RB Leipzig?
Our model gives 1 · Como a 62 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Como win 62 %, draw 17 %, RB Leipzig win 21 %.