Bayern Munich
09:00 PM
Sep 10
Bodo/Glimt
Bayern Munich – Bodo/Glimt
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:42 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.58 – 1.34
- Over 2.5 goals
- 75 %
- Both teams to score
- 68 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Bayern Munich at home (68 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 2.58 goals for Bayern Munich and 1.34 for Bodo/Glimt. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 89 %. Over their last five matches, Bayern Munich took 13 points and Bodo/Glimt 15 points. Over 2.5 goals: 75 %. Both teams to score: 68 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Bayern Munich | 1.06 | 89 % | -28.0 % |
| XDraw | 13.50 | 7 % | +94.0 % |
| 2Bodo/Glimt | 26.00 | 4 % | +365.7 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Bayern Munich
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Bodo/Glimt
- Last 5 matches
- Away
| Bayern Munich | Form and statistics | Bodo/Glimt |
|---|---|---|
| 1993 | Elo | 1844 |
| 3.00 | Goals scored / match | 3.00 |
| 1.50 | Goals conceded / match | 1.00 |
| 16.6 | Shots / match | 15.7 |
| 60 % | Win rate |
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Bayern Munich – Bodo/Glimt?
Our model gives 1 · Bayern Munich a 68 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Bayern Munich win 68 %, draw 14 %, Bodo/Glimt win 18 %.
What is the most likely score for Bayern Munich – Bodo/Glimt?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.
