Predictions are closed for this match.
Panathinaikos
08:15 PM
Sep 10
Kifisia
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Panathinaikos | 1.25 | 76 % | -6.3 % |
| XDraw | 6.00 | 16 % | +0.0 % |
| 2Kifisia | 11.00 | 9 % | -8.0 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Panathinaikos
Kifisia
| Panathinaikos | Form and statistics | Kifisia |
|---|---|---|
| 1685 | Elo | 1424 |
| 1.80 | Goals scored / match | 0.80 |
| 1.20 | Goals conceded / match | 1.00 |
| 15.0 | Shots / match | 13.9 |
| 50 % | Win rate | 30 % |
| 3 | Rest days | 4 |
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:42 AM.
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
Our model gives 1 · Panathinaikos a 75 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Panathinaikos win 75 %, draw 17 %, Kifisia win 8 %.
The most likely score is 2-0, at 13 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.
The model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals at 61 %, and both teams scoring at 47 %.
Bookmaker average with the margin removed: 1.25 for Panathinaikos, 6.00 for the draw, 11.00 for Kifisia.
Kick-off is scheduled for Thursday, September 10, 2026 at 08:15 PM (Super League Greece), at Athens Olympic Stadium.
The model leans towards Panathinaikos at home (75 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.43 goals for Panathinaikos and 0.73 for Kifisia. Bookmakers say the same thing: 76 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Panathinaikos took 13 points and Kifisia 5 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Panathinaikos, 1 draw, 1 win for Kifisia. Over 2.5 goals: 61 %. Both teams to score: 47 %.
The three 1/X/2 breakdowns side by side.
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