PSV Eindhoven
1-1
Shakhtar Donetsk
PSV Eindhoven – Shakhtar Donetsk
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:42 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 82 %
- Most likely score
- 3-08 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 3.29 – 0.96
The short version
Final score: PSV Eindhoven 1-1 Shakhtar Donetsk. The model predicted a win for PSV Eindhoven (82 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 3-0. It expects 3.29 goals for PSV Eindhoven and 0.96 for Shakhtar Donetsk. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 64 %. Over their last five matches, PSV Eindhoven took 13 points and Shakhtar Donetsk 4 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for PSV Eindhoven, 0 draws, 0 wins for Shakhtar Donetsk. Over 2.5 goals: 80 %. Both teams to score: 59 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1PSV Eindhoven | 1.49 | 64 % | +22.5 % |
| XDraw | 4.72 | 20 % | -53.5 % |
| 2Shakhtar Donetsk | 5.75 | 16 % | -54.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
PSV Eindhoven
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Shakhtar Donetsk
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- PSV Eindhoven
- 0 draws
- 0 wins
- Shakhtar Donetsk
- PSV Eindhoven3-2Shakhtar Donetsk
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of PSV Eindhoven – Shakhtar Donetsk?
Final score: PSV Eindhoven 1-1 Shakhtar Donetsk. The model predicted a win for PSV Eindhoven (82 %): missed prediction.
Who will win PSV Eindhoven – Shakhtar Donetsk?
Our model gives 1 · PSV Eindhoven a 82 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: PSV Eindhoven win 82 %, draw 10 %, Shakhtar Donetsk win 8 %.