Fenerbahce
1-1
AS Roma
Fenerbahce – AS Roma
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:42 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 41 %
- Most likely score
- 2-18 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.68 – 1.67
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Fenerbahce 1-1 AS Roma. The model predicted a win for Fenerbahce (41 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.68 goals for Fenerbahce and 1.67 for AS Roma. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 24 %. Over their last five matches, Fenerbahce took 10 points and AS Roma 15 points. Over 2.5 goals: 65 %. Both teams to score: 66 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Fenerbahce | 3.95 | 24 % | +61.2 % |
| XDraw | 3.73 | 25 % | -29.3 % |
| 2AS Roma | 1.85 | 51 % | -25.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Fenerbahce
- Last 5 matches
- At home
AS Roma
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Fenerbahce – AS Roma?
Final score: Fenerbahce 1-1 AS Roma. The model predicted a win for Fenerbahce (41 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Fenerbahce – AS Roma?
Our model gives 1 · Fenerbahce a 41 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Fenerbahce win 41 %, draw 19 %, AS Roma win 40 %.