Bahia
Flamengo
Bahia – Flamengo
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 18, 07:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 43 %
- Most likely score
- 0-111 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.14 – 1.43
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Bahia 0-3 Flamengo. The model predicted a win for Flamengo (43 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.14 goals for Bahia and 1.43 for Flamengo. Bookmakers say the same thing: 45 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Bahia took 9 points and Flamengo 9 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Bahia, 0 draws, 4 wins for Flamengo. Over 2.5 goals: 47 %. Both teams to score: 52 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Bahia | 3.20 | 30 % | -9.5 % |
| XDraw | 3.75 | 25 % | +6.8 % |
| 2Flamengo | 2.10 | 45 % | -9.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Bahia
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Flamengo
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Bahia
- 0 draws
- 4 wins
- Flamengo
- Flamengo2-0Bahia
- Bahia1-0Flamengo
- Flamengo1-0Bahia
- Bahia0-2Flamengo
- Flamengo2-1Bahia
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Bahia – Flamengo?
Final score: Bahia 0-3 Flamengo. The model predicted a win for Flamengo (43 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Bahia – Flamengo?
Our model gives 2 · Flamengo a 43 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Bahia win 28 %, draw 28 %, Flamengo win 43 %.