Chelsea
6-3
Leeds United
Chelsea – Leeds United
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:40 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 51 %
- Most likely score
- 2-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.76 – 1.13
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Chelsea 6-3 Leeds United. The model predicted a win for Chelsea (51 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.76 goals for Chelsea and 1.13 for Leeds United. Bookmakers say the same thing: 51 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Chelsea took 9 points and Leeds United 8 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Chelsea, 1 draw, 1 win for Leeds United. Over 2.5 goals: 55 %. Both teams to score: 56 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Chelsea | 1.80 | 51 % | -9.1 % |
| XDraw | 3.95 | 23 % | -11.1 % |
| 2Leeds United | 3.65 | 25 % | -1.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Chelsea
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Leeds United
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Chelsea
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- Leeds United
- Chelsea1-0Leeds United
- Chelsea2-2Leeds United
- Leeds United3-1Chelsea
- Chelsea3-2Leeds United
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Chelsea – Leeds United?
Final score: Chelsea 6-3 Leeds United. The model predicted a win for Chelsea (51 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Chelsea – Leeds United?
Our model gives 1 · Chelsea a 51 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Chelsea win 51 %, draw 23 %, Leeds United win 27 %.