CRB
Botafogo-SP
CRB – Botafogo-SP
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 18, 07:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 60 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.86 – 0.84
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: CRB 0-1 Botafogo-SP. The model predicted a win for CRB (60 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.86 goals for CRB and 0.84 for Botafogo-SP. Bookmakers say the same thing: 58 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, CRB took 7 points and Botafogo-SP 10 points. In recent meetings: 3 wins for CRB, 1 draw, 1 win for Botafogo-SP. Over 2.5 goals: 51 %. Both teams to score: 48 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1CRB | 1.62 | 58 % | -2.6 % |
| XDraw | 3.95 | 24 % | -5.4 % |
| 2Botafogo-SP | 5.25 | 18 % | -16.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
CRB
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Botafogo-SP
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 3 wins
- CRB
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- Botafogo-SP
- Botafogo-SP0-1CRB
- CRB3-2Botafogo-SP
- Botafogo-SP2-1CRB
- Botafogo-SP0-0CRB
- CRB4-1Botafogo-SP
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of CRB – Botafogo-SP?
Final score: CRB 0-1 Botafogo-SP. The model predicted a win for CRB (60 %): missed prediction.
Who will win CRB – Botafogo-SP?
Our model gives 1 · CRB a 60 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: CRB win 60 %, draw 24 %, Botafogo-SP win 16 %.