Napoli
0-1
Arsenal
Napoli – Arsenal
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:40 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 54 %
- Most likely score
- 1-210 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.14 – 1.71
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Napoli 0-1 Arsenal. The model predicted a win for Arsenal (54 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.14 goals for Napoli and 1.71 for Arsenal. Bookmakers say the same thing: 57 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Napoli took 9 points and Arsenal 13 points. Over 2.5 goals: 54 %. Both teams to score: 56 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Napoli | 5.25 | 18 % | +30.1 % |
| XDraw | 3.80 | 25 % | -20.4 % |
| 2Arsenal | 1.66 | 57 % | -9.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Napoli
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Arsenal
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Napoli – Arsenal?
Final score: Napoli 0-1 Arsenal. The model predicted a win for Arsenal (54 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Napoli – Arsenal?
Our model gives 2 · Arsenal a 54 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Napoli win 25 %, draw 21 %, Arsenal win 54 %.