Lyon
Nice
Lyon – Nice
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 18, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 65 %
- Most likely score
- 2-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.02 – 0.92
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Lyon 2-1 Nice. The model predicted a win for Lyon (65 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.02 goals for Lyon and 0.92 for Nice. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 53 %. Over their last five matches, Lyon took 10 points and Nice 7 points. In recent meetings: 4 wins for Lyon, 0 draws, 1 win for Nice. Over 2.5 goals: 56 %. Both teams to score: 52 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Lyon | 1.77 | 53 % | +16.1 % |
| XDraw | 4.00 | 24 % | -18.2 % |
| 2Nice | 4.15 | 23 % | -41.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Lyon
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Nice
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 4 wins
- Lyon
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- Nice
- Lyon2-0Nice
- Nice3-2Lyon
- Nice0-2Lyon
- Lyon4-1Nice
- Lyon1-0Nice
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Lyon – Nice?
Final score: Lyon 2-1 Nice. The model predicted a win for Lyon (65 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Lyon – Nice?
Our model gives 1 · Lyon a 65 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Lyon win 65 %, draw 20 %, Nice win 14 %.