Juventus
Lazio
Juventus – Lazio
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 18, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 61 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.85 – 0.87
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Juventus 0-3 Lazio. The model predicted a win for Juventus (61 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.85 goals for Juventus and 0.87 for Lazio. Bookmakers say the same thing: 56 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Juventus took 10 points and Lazio 13 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Juventus, 2 draws, 2 wins for Lazio. Over 2.5 goals: 51 %. Both teams to score: 49 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Juventus | 1.66 | 56 % | +0.8 % |
| XDraw | 3.75 | 25 % | -13.7 % |
| 2Lazio | 5.03 | 19 % | -17.7 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Juventus
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Lazio
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Juventus
- 2 draws
- 2 wins
- Lazio
- Juventus2-2Lazio
- Lazio1-0Juventus
- Lazio1-1Juventus
- Juventus1-0Lazio
- Lazio2-1Juventus
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Juventus – Lazio?
Final score: Juventus 0-3 Lazio. The model predicted a win for Juventus (61 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Juventus – Lazio?
Our model gives 1 · Juventus a 61 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Juventus win 61 %, draw 23 %, Lazio win 16 %.