Al Fateh
Al Khaleej
Al Fateh – Al Khaleej
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 17, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 42 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.48 – 1.21
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50 %
- Both teams to score
- 54 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Al Fateh at home (42 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.48 goals for Al Fateh and 1.21 for Al Khaleej. Bookmakers say the same thing: 40 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Al Fateh took 4 points and Al Khaleej 6 points. In recent meetings: 3 wins for Al Fateh, 0 draws, 2 wins for Al Khaleej. Over 2.5 goals: 50 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Al Fateh | 2.35 | 40 % | -0.9 % |
| XDraw | 3.35 | 28 % | -2.8 % |
| 2Al Khaleej | 2.85 | 33 % | -17.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Al Fateh
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Al Khaleej
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 3 wins
- Al Fateh
- 0 draws
- 2 wins
- Al Khaleej
- Al Fateh1-0Al Khaleej
- Al Khaleej0-1Al Fateh
- Al Khaleej1-5Al Fateh
- Al Fateh1-2Al Khaleej
- Al Fateh1-2Al Khaleej
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Al Fateh – Al Khaleej?
Our model gives 1 · Al Fateh a 42 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Al Fateh win 42 %, draw 29 %, Al Khaleej win 29 %.
What is the most likely score for Al Fateh – Al Khaleej?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.