Sampdoria
Arezzo
Sampdoria – Arezzo
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 18, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 41 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.28 – 1.07
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Sampdoria 1-2 Arezzo. The model predicted a win for Sampdoria (41 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.28 goals for Sampdoria and 1.07 for Arezzo. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 51 %. Over their last five matches, Sampdoria took 3 points and Arezzo 4 points. Over 2.5 goals: 42 %. Both teams to score: 48 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Sampdoria | 1.86 | 51 % | -24.7 % |
| XDraw | 3.60 | 26 % | +11.5 % |
| 2Arezzo | 4.20 | 23 % | +19.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Sampdoria
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Arezzo
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Sampdoria – Arezzo?
Final score: Sampdoria 1-2 Arezzo. The model predicted a win for Sampdoria (41 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Sampdoria – Arezzo?
Our model gives 1 · Sampdoria a 41 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Sampdoria win 41 %, draw 31 %, Arezzo win 29 %.