St Johnstone
0-1
Celtic
St Johnstone – Celtic
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:40 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 68 %
- Most likely score
- 0-211 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 0.90 – 2.31
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: St Johnstone 0-1 Celtic. The model predicted a win for Celtic (68 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-2. It expects 0.90 goals for St Johnstone and 2.31 for Celtic. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 61 %. Over their last five matches, St Johnstone took 7 points and Celtic 12 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for St Johnstone, 0 draws, 3 wins for Celtic. Over 2.5 goals: 62 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1St Johnstone | 5.13 | 18 % | -29.8 % |
| XDraw | 4.50 | 21 % | -18.5 % |
| 2Celtic | 1.53 | 61 % | +4.7 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
St Johnstone
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Celtic
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- St Johnstone
- 0 draws
- 3 wins
- Celtic
- St Johnstone0-5Celtic
- St Johnstone1-0Celtic
- Celtic4-0St Johnstone
- St Johnstone0-6Celtic
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of St Johnstone – Celtic?
Final score: St Johnstone 0-1 Celtic. The model predicted a win for Celtic (68 %): correct prediction.
Who will win St Johnstone – Celtic?
Our model gives 2 · Celtic a 68 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: St Johnstone win 14 %, draw 18 %, Celtic win 68 %.