Lorient
AS Monaco
Lorient – AS Monaco
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 18, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 36 %
- Most likely score
- 1-08 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.36 – 1.37
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Lorient 1-0 AS Monaco. The model predicted a win for Lorient (36 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.36 goals for Lorient and 1.37 for AS Monaco. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 26 %. Over their last five matches, Lorient took 7 points and AS Monaco 11 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Lorient, 2 draws, 0 wins for AS Monaco. Over 2.5 goals: 51 %. Both teams to score: 56 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Lorient | 3.63 | 26 % | +32.3 % |
| XDraw | 3.45 | 28 % | -1.2 % |
| 2AS Monaco | 2.08 | 46 % | -27.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Lorient
- Last 5 matches
- At home
AS Monaco
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Lorient
- 2 draws
- 0 wins
- AS Monaco
- AS Monaco1-3Lorient
- Lorient3-1AS Monaco
- AS Monaco2-2Lorient
- Lorient2-2AS Monaco
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Lorient – AS Monaco?
Final score: Lorient 1-0 AS Monaco. The model predicted a win for Lorient (36 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Lorient – AS Monaco?
Our model gives 1 · Lorient a 36 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Lorient win 36 %, draw 29 %, AS Monaco win 35 %.