Le Havre AC
AJ Auxerre
Le Havre AC – AJ Auxerre
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 18, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 37 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.35 – 1.20
The short version
Final score: Le Havre AC 1-3 AJ Auxerre. The model predicted a win for Le Havre AC (37 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.35 goals for Le Havre AC and 1.20 for AJ Auxerre. Bookmakers say the same thing: 42 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Le Havre AC took 2 points and AJ Auxerre 6 points. In recent meetings: 3 wins for Le Havre AC, 1 draw, 0 wins for AJ Auxerre. Over 2.5 goals: 47 %. Both teams to score: 52 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Le Havre AC | 2.27 | 42 % | -15.7 % |
| XDraw | 3.45 | 28 % | +4.0 % |
| 2AJ Auxerre | 3.13 | 30 % | +2.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Le Havre AC
- Last 5 matches
- At home
AJ Auxerre
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 3 wins
- Le Havre AC
- 1 draw
- 0 wins
- AJ Auxerre
- Le Havre AC1-1AJ Auxerre
- AJ Auxerre0-1Le Havre AC
- AJ Auxerre1-2Le Havre AC
- Le Havre AC3-1AJ Auxerre
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Le Havre AC – AJ Auxerre?
Final score: Le Havre AC 1-3 AJ Auxerre. The model predicted a win for Le Havre AC (37 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Le Havre AC – AJ Auxerre?
Our model gives 1 · Le Havre AC a 37 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Le Havre AC win 37 %, draw 30 %, AJ Auxerre win 33 %.