Charlton Athletic
09:00 PM
Sep 9
Queens Park Rangers
Charlton Athletic – Queens Park Rangers
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:40 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- Most likely score
- 0-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.25 – 1.30
- Over 2.5 goals
- 47 %
- Both teams to score
- 52 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Queens Park Rangers away from home (37 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.25 goals for Charlton Athletic and 1.30 for Queens Park Rangers. Bookmakers say the same thing: 41 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Charlton Athletic took 7 points and Queens Park Rangers 10 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Charlton Athletic, 1 draw, 1 win for Queens Park Rangers. Over 2.5 goals: 47 %. Both teams to score: 52 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Charlton Athletic | 3.17 | 30 % | +6.0 % |
| XDraw | 3.27 | 29 % | -2.7 % |
| 2Queens Park Rangers | 2.27 | 41 % | -16.0 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Charlton Athletic
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Queens Park Rangers
- Last 5 matches
- Away
| Charlton Athletic | Form and statistics | Queens Park Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| 1438 | Elo | 1443 |
| 1.40 | Goals scored / match | 1.10 |
| 1.90 | Goals conceded / match | 1.50 |
| 10.5 | Shots / match | 15.0 |
| 50 % | Win rate |
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Charlton Athletic
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- Queens Park Rangers
- Charlton Athletic0-0Queens Park Rangers
- Queens Park Rangers3-1Charlton Athletic
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Charlton Athletic – Queens Park Rangers?
Our model gives 2 · Queens Park Rangers a 37 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Charlton Athletic win 33 %, draw 30 %, Queens Park Rangers win 37 %.
What is the most likely score for Charlton Athletic – Queens Park Rangers?
The most likely score is 0-1, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.
