Intility Arena
Vålerenga
SK Brann
Vålerenga – SK Brann
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 18, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 48 %
- Most likely score
- 1-29 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.34 – 1.79
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Vålerenga 3-1 SK Brann. The model predicted a win for SK Brann (48 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.34 goals for Vålerenga and 1.79 for SK Brann. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 37 %. Over their last five matches, Vålerenga took 2 points and SK Brann 6 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Vålerenga, 0 draws, 3 wins for SK Brann. Over 2.5 goals: 61 %. Both teams to score: 62 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Vålerenga | 2.40 | 39 % | -32.4 % |
| XDraw | 3.90 | 24 % | -6.4 % |
| 2SK Brann | 2.55 | 37 % | +21.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Vålerenga
- Last 5 matches
- At home
SK Brann
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Vålerenga
- 0 draws
- 3 wins
- SK Brann
- SK Brann2-3Vålerenga
- SK Brann3-2Vålerenga
- Vålerenga2-4SK Brann
- Vålerenga1-2SK Brann
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Vålerenga – SK Brann?
Final score: Vålerenga 3-1 SK Brann. The model predicted a win for SK Brann (48 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Vålerenga – SK Brann?
Our model gives 2 · SK Brann a 48 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Vålerenga win 28 %, draw 24 %, SK Brann win 48 %.