Aker Stadion
Molde
IK Start
Molde – IK Start
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 18, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 72 %
- Most likely score
- 2-09 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.65 – 0.99
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Molde 6-1 IK Start. The model predicted a win for Molde (72 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.65 goals for Molde and 0.99 for IK Start. Bookmakers say the same thing: 71 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Molde took 10 points and IK Start 6 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Molde, 1 draw, 0 wins for IK Start. Over 2.5 goals: 70 %. Both teams to score: 59 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Molde | 1.32 | 71 % | -4.5 % |
| XDraw | 5.75 | 16 % | -6.3 % |
| 2IK Start | 7.50 | 13 % | -15.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Molde
- Last 5 matches
- At home
IK Start
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Molde
- 1 draw
- 0 wins
- IK Start
- IK Start1-1Molde
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Molde – IK Start?
Final score: Molde 6-1 IK Start. The model predicted a win for Molde (72 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Molde – IK Start?
Our model gives 1 · Molde a 72 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Molde win 72 %, draw 16 %, IK Start win 11 %.