FC Groningen
Ajax Amsterdam
FC Groningen – Ajax Amsterdam
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 18, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 51 %
- Most likely score
- 1-29 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.45 – 2.25
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: FC Groningen 2-5 Ajax Amsterdam. The model predicted a win for Ajax Amsterdam (51 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.45 goals for FC Groningen and 2.25 for Ajax Amsterdam. Bookmakers say the same thing: 50 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, FC Groningen took 8 points and Ajax Amsterdam 8 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for FC Groningen, 1 draw, 3 wins for Ajax Amsterdam. Over 2.5 goals: 71 %. Both teams to score: 69 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1FC Groningen | 3.45 | 27 % | -16.2 % |
| XDraw | 4.20 | 22 % | +3.7 % |
| 2Ajax Amsterdam | 1.86 | 50 % | -5.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
FC Groningen
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Ajax Amsterdam
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- FC Groningen
- 1 draw
- 3 wins
- Ajax Amsterdam
- Ajax Amsterdam2-0FC Groningen
- FC Groningen3-1Ajax Amsterdam
- Ajax Amsterdam2-0FC Groningen
- FC Groningen2-2Ajax Amsterdam
- Ajax Amsterdam3-1FC Groningen
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of FC Groningen – Ajax Amsterdam?
Final score: FC Groningen 2-5 Ajax Amsterdam. The model predicted a win for Ajax Amsterdam (51 %): correct prediction.
Who will win FC Groningen – Ajax Amsterdam?
Our model gives 2 · Ajax Amsterdam a 51 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: FC Groningen win 24 %, draw 25 %, Ajax Amsterdam win 51 %.