Malmö FF
BK Häcken
Malmö FF – BK Häcken
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 18, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 40 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.51 – 1.39
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Malmö FF 0-1 BK Häcken. The model predicted a win for Malmö FF (40 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.51 goals for Malmö FF and 1.39 for BK Häcken. Bookmakers say the same thing: 37 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Malmö FF took 10 points and BK Häcken 8 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Malmö FF, 2 draws, 1 win for BK Häcken. Over 2.5 goals: 55 %. Both teams to score: 59 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Malmö FF | 2.55 | 37 % | +2.8 % |
| XDraw | 3.65 | 26 % | -10.2 % |
| 2BK Häcken | 2.55 | 37 % | -10.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Malmö FF
- Last 5 matches
- At home
BK Häcken
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Malmö FF
- 2 draws
- 1 win
- BK Häcken
- BK Häcken3-2Malmö FF
- BK Häcken1-1Malmö FF
- Malmö FF3-0BK Häcken
- Malmö FF4-0BK Häcken
- BK Häcken2-2Malmö FF
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Malmö FF – BK Häcken?
Final score: Malmö FF 0-1 BK Häcken. The model predicted a win for Malmö FF (40 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Malmö FF – BK Häcken?
Our model gives 1 · Malmö FF a 40 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Malmö FF win 40 %, draw 25 %, BK Häcken win 35 %.