Halmstads BK
Hammarby IF
Halmstads BK – Hammarby IF
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 17, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 70 %
- Most likely score
- 0-212 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 0.83 – 2.33
- Over 2.5 goals
- 61 %
- Both teams to score
- 51 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Hammarby IF away from home (70 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-2. It expects 0.83 goals for Halmstads BK and 2.33 for Hammarby IF. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 76 %. Over their last five matches, Halmstads BK took 6 points and Hammarby IF 7 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Halmstads BK, 1 draw, 2 wins for Hammarby IF. Over 2.5 goals: 61 %. Both teams to score: 51 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Halmstads BK | 9.50 | 10 % | +19.6 % |
| XDraw | 6.50 | 14 % | +11.0 % |
| 2Hammarby IF | 1.23 | 76 % | -13.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Halmstads BK
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Hammarby IF
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Halmstads BK
- 1 draw
- 2 wins
- Hammarby IF
- Hammarby IF1-1Halmstads BK
- Halmstads BK1-0Hammarby IF
- Hammarby IF2-0Halmstads BK
- Hammarby IF1-0Halmstads BK
- Halmstads BK2-1Hammarby IF
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Halmstads BK – Hammarby IF?
Our model gives 2 · Hammarby IF a 70 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Halmstads BK win 13 %, draw 17 %, Hammarby IF win 70 %.
What is the most likely score for Halmstads BK – Hammarby IF?
The most likely score is 0-2, at 12 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.