Panathinaikos
Asteras Tripoli
Panathinaikos – Asteras Tripoli
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 18, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 74 %
- Most likely score
- 2-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.15 – 0.81
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Panathinaikos 5-1 Asteras Tripoli. The model predicted a win for Panathinaikos (74 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.15 goals for Panathinaikos and 0.81 for Asteras Tripoli. Bookmakers say the same thing: 78 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Panathinaikos took 12 points and Asteras Tripoli 5 points. In recent meetings: 4 wins for Panathinaikos, 0 draws, 1 win for Asteras Tripoli. Over 2.5 goals: 57 %. Both teams to score: 49 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Panathinaikos | 1.20 | 78 % | -11.0 % |
| XDraw | 6.50 | 14 % | +10.6 % |
| 2Asteras Tripoli | 13.00 | 7 % | +15.0 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Panathinaikos
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Asteras Tripoli
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 4 wins
- Panathinaikos
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- Asteras Tripoli
- Asteras Tripoli1-2Panathinaikos
- Panathinaikos2-0Asteras Tripoli
- Asteras Tripoli0-1Panathinaikos
- Panathinaikos0-1Asteras Tripoli
- Panathinaikos2-0Asteras Tripoli
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Panathinaikos – Asteras Tripoli?
Final score: Panathinaikos 5-1 Asteras Tripoli. The model predicted a win for Panathinaikos (74 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Panathinaikos – Asteras Tripoli?
Our model gives 1 · Panathinaikos a 74 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Panathinaikos win 74 %, draw 17 %, Asteras Tripoli win 9 %.