Predictions are closed for this match.
Rangers
08:45 PM
Sep 9
St Mirren
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Rangers | 1.22 | 77 % | -18.3 % |
| XDraw | 6.25 | 15 % | +29.1 % |
| 2St Mirren | 12.00 | 8 % | +48.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Rangers
St Mirren
| Rangers | Form and statistics | St Mirren |
|---|---|---|
| 1666 | Elo | 1467 |
| 1.40 | Goals scored / match | 1.10 |
| 1.00 | Goals conceded / match | 1.20 |
| 14.4 | Shots / match | 14.6 |
| 50 % | Win rate | 40 % |
| 4 | Rest days | 3 |
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:40 AM.
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
Our model gives 1 · Rangers a 67 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Rangers win 67 %, draw 21 %, St Mirren win 12 %.
The most likely score is 2-0, at 11 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.
The model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals at 59 %, and both teams scoring at 53 %.
Bookmaker average with the margin removed: 1.22 for Rangers, 6.25 for the draw, 12.00 for St Mirren.
Kick-off is scheduled for Wednesday, September 9, 2026 at 08:45 PM (Scottish Premiership), at Ibrox Stadium.
The model leans towards Rangers at home (67 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.19 goals for Rangers and 0.89 for St Mirren. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 77 %. Over their last five matches, Rangers took 12 points and St Mirren 10 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Rangers, 2 draws, 1 win for St Mirren. Over 2.5 goals: 59 %. Both teams to score: 53 %.
The three 1/X/2 breakdowns side by side.
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