Celta Vigo
Alavés
Celta Vigo – Alavés
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 18, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 40 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.34 – 1.13
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Celta Vigo 2-1 Alavés. The model predicted a win for Celta Vigo (40 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.34 goals for Celta Vigo and 1.13 for Alavés. Bookmakers say the same thing: 43 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Celta Vigo took 5 points and Alavés 4 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Celta Vigo, 1 draw, 2 wins for Alavés. Over 2.5 goals: 45 %. Both teams to score: 50 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Celta Vigo | 2.20 | 43 % | -11.3 % |
| XDraw | 3.30 | 29 % | -6.3 % |
| 2Alavés | 3.45 | 28 % | +7.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Celta Vigo
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Alavés
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Celta Vigo
- 1 draw
- 2 wins
- Alavés
- Celta Vigo3-4Alavés
- Alavés0-1Celta Vigo
- Alavés1-1Celta Vigo
- Celta Vigo2-1Alavés
- Alavés3-0Celta Vigo
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Celta Vigo – Alavés?
Final score: Celta Vigo 2-1 Alavés. The model predicted a win for Celta Vigo (40 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Celta Vigo – Alavés?
Our model gives 1 · Celta Vigo a 40 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Celta Vigo win 40 %, draw 28 %, Alavés win 31 %.