Estádio João Cardoso
Tondela
Alverca
Tondela – Alverca
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 17, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 50 %
- Most likely score
- 1-29 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.36 – 1.58
- Over 2.5 goals
- 56 %
- Both teams to score
- 59 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Alverca away from home (50 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.36 goals for Tondela and 1.58 for Alverca. No odds are available for this match, so there is nothing to compare the model against. Over their last five matches, Tondela took 10 points and Alverca 10 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Tondela, 1 draw, 1 win for Alverca. Over 2.5 goals: 56 %. Both teams to score: 59 %.
What the market says
No odds available for this match.
Form and statistics
Tondela
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Alverca
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Tondela
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- Alverca
- Tondela1-1Alverca
- Alverca1-0Tondela
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Tondela – Alverca?
Our model gives 2 · Alverca a 50 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Tondela win 32 %, draw 18 %, Alverca win 50 %.
What is the most likely score for Tondela – Alverca?
The most likely score is 1-2, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.