Angers
Marseille
Angers – Marseille
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 18, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 49 %
- Most likely score
- 0-111 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.03 – 1.65
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Angers 2-5 Marseille. The model predicted a win for Marseille (49 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.03 goals for Angers and 1.65 for Marseille. Bookmakers say the same thing: 47 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Angers took 7 points and Marseille 3 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Angers, 2 draws, 3 wins for Marseille. Over 2.5 goals: 50 %. Both teams to score: 52 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Angers | 3.45 | 28 % | -17.8 % |
| XDraw | 3.80 | 25 % | +4.7 % |
| 2Marseille | 2.00 | 47 % | -2.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Angers
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Marseille
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Angers
- 2 draws
- 3 wins
- Marseille
- Angers2-5Marseille
- Marseille2-2Angers
- Angers0-2Marseille
- Marseille1-1Angers
- Marseille3-1Angers
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Angers – Marseille?
Final score: Angers 2-5 Marseille. The model predicted a win for Marseille (49 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Angers – Marseille?
Our model gives 2 · Marseille a 49 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Angers win 24 %, draw 28 %, Marseille win 49 %.