Fiorentina
Como
Fiorentina – Como
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 18, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 52 %
- Most likely score
- 0-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.04 – 1.77
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Fiorentina 1-3 Como. The model predicted a win for Como (52 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.04 goals for Fiorentina and 1.77 for Como. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 45 %. Over their last five matches, Fiorentina took 7 points and Como 7 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Fiorentina, 0 draws, 3 wins for Como. Over 2.5 goals: 53 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Fiorentina | 3.30 | 28 % | -31.1 % |
| XDraw | 3.52 | 27 % | -3.2 % |
| 2Como | 2.08 | 45 % | +7.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Fiorentina
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Como
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Fiorentina
- 0 draws
- 3 wins
- Como
- Como1-2Fiorentina
- Fiorentina1-3Como
- Fiorentina1-2Como
- Fiorentina0-2Como
- Como0-2Fiorentina
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Fiorentina – Como?
Final score: Fiorentina 1-3 Como. The model predicted a win for Como (52 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Fiorentina – Como?
Our model gives 2 · Como a 52 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Fiorentina win 21 %, draw 27 %, Como win 52 %.