Juve Stabia
Sudtirol
Juve Stabia – Sudtirol
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 17, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 43 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.35 – 1.02
- Over 2.5 goals
- 42 %
- Both teams to score
- 48 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Juve Stabia at home (43 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.35 goals for Juve Stabia and 1.02 for Sudtirol. Bookmakers say the same thing: 44 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Juve Stabia took 6 points and Sudtirol 8 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Juve Stabia, 1 draw, 1 win for Sudtirol. Over 2.5 goals: 42 %. Both teams to score: 48 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Juve Stabia | 2.10 | 44 % | -10.0 % |
| XDraw | 3.30 | 28 % | +2.3 % |
| 2Sudtirol | 3.40 | 27 % | -11.0 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Juve Stabia
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Sudtirol
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Juve Stabia
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- Sudtirol
- Sudtirol1-1Juve Stabia
- Juve Stabia1-0Sudtirol
- Sudtirol2-0Juve Stabia
- Juve Stabia2-1Sudtirol
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Juve Stabia – Sudtirol?
Our model gives 1 · Juve Stabia a 43 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Juve Stabia win 43 %, draw 31 %, Sudtirol win 26 %.
What is the most likely score for Juve Stabia – Sudtirol?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 12 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.