Leeds United
Manchester United
Leeds United – Manchester United
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 18, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 41 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.48 – 1.40
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Leeds United 1-1 Manchester United. The model predicted a win for Leeds United (41 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.48 goals for Leeds United and 1.40 for Manchester United. Bookmakers say the same thing: 41 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Leeds United took 5 points and Manchester United 2 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Leeds United, 1 draw, 0 wins for Manchester United. Over 2.5 goals: 55 %. Both teams to score: 59 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Leeds United | 2.35 | 41 % | -4.2 % |
| XDraw | 3.60 | 26 % | -5.7 % |
| 2Manchester United | 2.89 | 33 % | -4.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Leeds United
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Manchester United
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Leeds United
- 1 draw
- 0 wins
- Manchester United
- Manchester United1-2Leeds United
- Leeds United1-1Manchester United
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Leeds United – Manchester United?
Final score: Leeds United 1-1 Manchester United. The model predicted a win for Leeds United (41 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Leeds United – Manchester United?
Our model gives 1 · Leeds United a 41 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Leeds United win 41 %, draw 26 %, Manchester United win 33 %.