AFC Bournemouth
Sunderland
AFC Bournemouth – Sunderland
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 18, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 50 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.64 – 1.11
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: AFC Bournemouth 2-0 Sunderland. The model predicted a win for AFC Bournemouth (50 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.64 goals for AFC Bournemouth and 1.11 for Sunderland. Bookmakers say the same thing: 45 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, AFC Bournemouth took 7 points and Sunderland 6 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for AFC Bournemouth, 1 draw, 1 win for Sunderland. Over 2.5 goals: 52 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1AFC Bournemouth | 2.13 | 45 % | +5.8 % |
| XDraw | 3.45 | 28 % | -7.4 % |
| 2Sunderland | 3.48 | 27 % | -18.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
AFC Bournemouth
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Sunderland
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- AFC Bournemouth
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- Sunderland
- AFC Bournemouth1-1Sunderland
- Sunderland3-2AFC Bournemouth
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of AFC Bournemouth – Sunderland?
Final score: AFC Bournemouth 2-0 Sunderland. The model predicted a win for AFC Bournemouth (50 %): correct prediction.
Who will win AFC Bournemouth – Sunderland?
Our model gives 1 · AFC Bournemouth a 50 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: AFC Bournemouth win 50 %, draw 27 %, Sunderland win 23 %.