Wolfsberger
WSG Swarovski Tirol
Wolfsberger – WSG Swarovski Tirol
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 17, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 41 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.36 – 1.15
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46 %
- Both teams to score
- 51 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Wolfsberger at home (41 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.36 goals for Wolfsberger and 1.15 for WSG Swarovski Tirol. Bookmakers say the same thing: 39 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Wolfsberger took 1 point and WSG Swarovski Tirol 7 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Wolfsberger, 3 draws, 1 win for WSG Swarovski Tirol. Over 2.5 goals: 46 %. Both teams to score: 51 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Wolfsberger | 2.40 | 39 % | -1.4 % |
| XDraw | 3.45 | 27 % | +1.9 % |
| 2WSG Swarovski Tirol | 2.75 | 34 % | -19.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Wolfsberger
- Last 5 matches
- At home
WSG Swarovski Tirol
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Wolfsberger
- 3 draws
- 1 win
- WSG Swarovski Tirol
- Wolfsberger2-0WSG Swarovski Tirol
- WSG Swarovski Tirol3-1Wolfsberger
- Wolfsberger0-0WSG Swarovski Tirol
- WSG Swarovski Tirol1-1Wolfsberger
- WSG Swarovski Tirol3-3Wolfsberger
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Wolfsberger – WSG Swarovski Tirol?
Our model gives 1 · Wolfsberger a 41 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Wolfsberger win 41 %, draw 30 %, WSG Swarovski Tirol win 29 %.
What is the most likely score for Wolfsberger – WSG Swarovski Tirol?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 11 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.